Comments for End User Modeling http://rnfc.org/ivey The Richard Ivey School of Business Mon, 12 Jul 2010 02:51:39 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.1 Comment on 2010 FIFA World Cup by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/quant-libraries/2010-fifa-world-cup/comment-page-1/#comment-62 Nico Mon, 12 Jul 2010 02:51:39 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=1143#comment-62 <strong>Before the Final Game, it was clear Spain had a better chance:</strong> Yellow cards - Spain 3.0 / Netherlands 15.0 Fouls Committed - Spain 62.0 / Netherlands 98.0 Fouls Suffered - Spain 106.0 / Netherlands 98.0 Fouls causing a penalty - Spain 1.0 / Netherlands 2.0 Attacking - Spain 97.0 / Netherlands 60.0 Attacks From Left - Spain 29.0 / Netherlands 20.0 Attacks From Centre - Spain 35.0 / Netherlands 25.0 Attacks From Right - Spain 33.0 / Netherlands 15.0 Tackles suffered - Spain 48.0 / Netherlands 23.0 Tackles suffered losing possession - Spain 27.0 / Netherlands 14.0 Lost Balls - Spain 94.0 / Netherlands 68.0 Assists - Spain 4.0 / Netherlands 10.0 Offsides - Spain 6.0 / Netherlands 22.0 Average Ball possession rate - Spain 58.0 / Netherlands 54.0 Solo runs - Spain 157.0 / Netherlands 84.0 Deliveries in Penalty area - Spain 57.0 / Netherlands 31.0 Clearances - Spain 38.0 / Netherlands 53.0 Clearances completed - Spain 10.0 / Netherlands 18.0 Clearances completion rate - Spain 26.32% / Netherlands 33.96% Saves - Spain 12.0 / Netherlands 17.0 Tackles - Spain 27.0 / Netherlands 26.0 Tackles made gaining possession - Spain 14.0 / Netherlands 9.0 Recovered Balls - Spain 24.0 / Netherlands 27.0 Total Passes - Spain 4206.0 / Netherlands 3366.0 Passes Completed - Spain 3382.7 / Netherlands 2434.0 Passes Completion Rate - Spain 80.43% / Netherlands 72.31% Crosses - Spain 146.0 / Netherlands 87.0 Crosses Completed - Spain 40.0 / Netherlands 23.0 Crosses completion rate - Spain 27.40% / Netherlands 26.44% Corners - Spain 48.0 / Netherlands 25.0 Corners completed - Spain 28.0 / Netherlands 7.0 Corners completion rate - Spain 58.33% / Netherlands 28.00% Long passes - Spain 631.0 / Netherlands 618.0 Long Passes complete - Spain 400.8 / Netherlands 314.0 Long Passes completion rate - Spain 63.52% / Netherlands 50.81% Medium Passes - Spain 2627.0 / Netherlands 2030.0 Medium Passes complete - Spain 2216.8 / Netherlands 1619.0 Medium Passes completion rate - Spain 84.39% / Netherlands 79.75% Short Passes - Spain 948.0 / Netherlands 718.0 Short Passes complete - Spain 765.1 / Netherlands 501.0 Short Passes completion rate - Spain 80.70% / Netherlands 69.78% <a href="http://projects.nytimes.com/world_cup/dashboard/7928" rel="nofollow">New York Times Final Game Dashboard</a> Before the Final Game, it was clear Spain had a better chance:

Yellow cards – Spain 3.0 / Netherlands 15.0
Fouls Committed – Spain 62.0 / Netherlands 98.0
Fouls Suffered – Spain 106.0 / Netherlands 98.0
Fouls causing a penalty – Spain 1.0 / Netherlands 2.0
Attacking – Spain 97.0 / Netherlands 60.0
Attacks From Left – Spain 29.0 / Netherlands 20.0
Attacks From Centre – Spain 35.0 / Netherlands 25.0
Attacks From Right – Spain 33.0 / Netherlands 15.0
Tackles suffered – Spain 48.0 / Netherlands 23.0
Tackles suffered losing possession – Spain 27.0 / Netherlands 14.0
Lost Balls – Spain 94.0 / Netherlands 68.0
Assists – Spain 4.0 / Netherlands 10.0
Offsides – Spain 6.0 / Netherlands 22.0
Average Ball possession rate – Spain 58.0 / Netherlands 54.0
Solo runs – Spain 157.0 / Netherlands 84.0
Deliveries in Penalty area – Spain 57.0 / Netherlands 31.0
Clearances – Spain 38.0 / Netherlands 53.0
Clearances completed – Spain 10.0 / Netherlands 18.0
Clearances completion rate – Spain 26.32% / Netherlands 33.96%
Saves – Spain 12.0 / Netherlands 17.0
Tackles – Spain 27.0 / Netherlands 26.0
Tackles made gaining possession – Spain 14.0 / Netherlands 9.0
Recovered Balls – Spain 24.0 / Netherlands 27.0
Total Passes – Spain 4206.0 / Netherlands 3366.0
Passes Completed – Spain 3382.7 / Netherlands 2434.0
Passes Completion Rate – Spain 80.43% / Netherlands 72.31%
Crosses – Spain 146.0 / Netherlands 87.0
Crosses Completed – Spain 40.0 / Netherlands 23.0
Crosses completion rate – Spain 27.40% / Netherlands 26.44%
Corners – Spain 48.0 / Netherlands 25.0
Corners completed – Spain 28.0 / Netherlands 7.0
Corners completion rate – Spain 58.33% / Netherlands 28.00%
Long passes – Spain 631.0 / Netherlands 618.0
Long Passes complete – Spain 400.8 / Netherlands 314.0
Long Passes completion rate – Spain 63.52% / Netherlands 50.81%
Medium Passes – Spain 2627.0 / Netherlands 2030.0
Medium Passes complete – Spain 2216.8 / Netherlands 1619.0
Medium Passes completion rate – Spain 84.39% / Netherlands 79.75%
Short Passes – Spain 948.0 / Netherlands 718.0
Short Passes complete – Spain 765.1 / Netherlands 501.0
Short Passes completion rate – Spain 80.70% / Netherlands 69.78%

New York Times Final Game Dashboard

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Comment on OECD Economic Outlook 2010 by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/financial-data-templates/oecd_outlook_2010/comment-page-1/#comment-58 Nico Fri, 28 May 2010 18:35:20 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=1139#comment-58 "The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable." - Canadian-American economist John Kenneth Galbraith (1908–2006) “The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.”
- Canadian-American economist John Kenneth Galbraith (1908–2006)

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Comment on Logicomix by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/math-libraries/logicomix/comment-page-1/#comment-57 Nico Thu, 20 May 2010 03:03:10 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=930#comment-57 Bertrand Russell: What I Have Lived For... " Three passions, simple but overwhelmingly strong, have governed my life: the longing for love, the search for knowledge, and unbearable pity for the suffering of mankind. These passions, like great winds, have blown me hither and thither, in a wayward course, over a deep ocean of anguish, reaching to the very verge of despair. I have sought love, first, because it brings ecstasy -- ecstasy so great that I would often have sacrificed all the rest of life for a few hours of this joy. I have sought it, next, because it relieves loneliness -- that terrible loneliness in which one shivering consciousness looks over the rim of the world into the cold unfathomable lifeless abyss. I have sought it, finally, because in the union of love I have seen, in a mystic miniature, the prefiguring vision of the heaven that saints and poets have imagined. This is what I sought, and though it might seem too good for human life, this is what -- at last -- I have found. With equal passion I have sought knowledge. I have wished to understand the hearts of men. I have wished to know why the stars shine. And I have tried to apprehend the Pythagorean power by which number holds sway above the flux. A little of this, but not much, I have achieved. Love and knowledge, so far as they were possible, led upward toward the heavens. But always pity brought me back to earth. Echoes of cries of pain reverberate in my heart. Children in famine, victims tortured by oppressors, helpless old people a hated burden to their sons, and the whole world of loneliness, poverty, and pain make a mockery of what human life should be. I long to alleviate the evil, but I cannot, and I too suffer. This has been my life. I have found it worth living, and would gladly live it again if the chance were offered me." Bertrand Russell: What I Have Lived For…

” Three passions, simple but overwhelmingly strong, have governed my life: the longing for love, the search for knowledge, and unbearable pity for the suffering of mankind. These passions, like great winds, have blown me hither and thither, in a wayward course, over a deep ocean of anguish, reaching to the very verge of despair.

I have sought love, first, because it brings ecstasy — ecstasy so great that I would often have sacrificed all the rest of life for a few hours of this joy. I have sought it, next, because it relieves loneliness — that terrible loneliness in which one shivering consciousness looks over the rim of the world into the cold unfathomable lifeless abyss. I have sought it, finally, because in the union of love I have seen, in a mystic miniature, the prefiguring vision of the heaven that saints and poets have imagined. This is what I sought, and though it might seem too good for human life, this is what — at last — I have found.

With equal passion I have sought knowledge. I have wished to understand the hearts of men. I have wished to know why the stars shine. And I have tried to apprehend the Pythagorean power by which number holds sway above the flux. A little of this, but not much, I have achieved.

Love and knowledge, so far as they were possible, led upward toward the heavens. But always pity brought me back to earth. Echoes of cries of pain reverberate in my heart. Children in famine, victims tortured by oppressors, helpless old people a hated burden to their sons, and the whole world of loneliness, poverty, and pain make a mockery of what human life should be. I long to alleviate the evil, but I cannot, and I too suffer. This has been my life. I have found it worth living, and would gladly live it again if the chance were offered me.”

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Comment on Nature by Numbers by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/math-libraries/nature_numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-56 Nico Tue, 18 May 2010 06:40:22 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=1134#comment-56 Euler Problem 104: Finding Fibonacci numbers for which the first and last nine digits are pandigital. The Fibonacci sequence is defined by the recurrence relation: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(1) = 1 and F(2) = 1. It turns out that F(541), which contains 113 digits, is the first Fibonacci number for which the last nine digits are 1-9 pandigital (contain all the digits 1 to 9, but not necessarily in order). And F(2749), which contains 575 digits, is the first Fibonacci number for which the first nine digits are 1-9 pandigital. Given that F(k) is the first Fibonacci number for which the first nine digits AND the last nine digits are 1-9 pandigital, find k. Solution = Dossier- Think Challenge + Formulas - Exercise Your Mind Hints: http://projecteuler.net/ Euler Problem 104: Finding Fibonacci numbers for which the first and last nine digits are pandigital.

The Fibonacci sequence is defined by the recurrence relation:
F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(1) = 1 and F(2) = 1.

It turns out that F(541), which contains 113 digits, is the first Fibonacci number for which the last nine digits are 1-9 pandigital (contain all the digits 1 to 9, but not necessarily in order). And F(2749), which contains 575 digits, is the first Fibonacci number for which the first nine digits are 1-9 pandigital.

Given that F(k) is the first Fibonacci number for which the first nine digits AND the last nine digits are 1-9 pandigital, find k.

Solution = Dossier- Think Challenge + Formulas – Exercise Your Mind
Hints: http://projecteuler.net/

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Comment on Riding the Dow Rollercoaster by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/financial-data-templates/dow_rollercoaster/comment-page-1/#comment-55 Nico Tue, 11 May 2010 17:31:19 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=1127#comment-55 Go to http://www.timelinesdb.com Subject = DJIA Go to http://www.timelinesdb.com
Subject = DJIA

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Comment on Map of Worst Banks by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/financial-data-templates/map-of-worst-banks/comment-page-1/#comment-53 Nico Fri, 26 Mar 2010 07:18:33 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=1116#comment-53 The U.S. banking system is in its worst shape since 2007, with default rates up and collateral values down across the board. Loan loss reserves are absolutely pathetic relative to non-performing loans: <img src="http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/fredgraph.png?&chart_type=line&graph_id=0&category_id=&recession_bars=On&width=630&height=378&bgcolor=%23B3CDE7&graph_bgcolor=%23FFFFFF&txtcolor=%23000000&ts=8&preserve_ratio=true&fo=ve&id=LLRNPT&transformation=lin&scale=Left&range=Max&cosd=1988-03-31&coed=2009-12-31&line_color=%230000FF&link_values=&mark_type=NONE&mw=4&line_style=Solid&lw=1&vintage_date=2010-03-26&revision_date=2010-03-26&mma=0&nd=&ost=&oet=&fml=a" alt="Assets at Banks whose ALLL exceeds their Nonperforming Loans" /> <a href="http://www.rnfc.org/Public_Reports/Worst_Banks_in_the_US.xlsx" rel="nofollow">Worst Banks in the US</a> <a href="http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/banklist.html" rel="nofollow">Failed banks announced...</a> The U.S. banking system is in its worst shape since 2007, with default rates up and collateral values down across the board. Loan loss reserves are absolutely pathetic relative to non-performing loans:

Assets at Banks whose ALLL exceeds their Nonperforming Loans

Worst Banks in the US
Failed banks announced…

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Comment on OECD Business Cycle Clock by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/financial-data-templates/business-cycle-clock/comment-page-1/#comment-51 Nico Wed, 03 Mar 2010 08:27:51 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=1107#comment-51 History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme. Mark Twain History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme.
Mark Twain

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Comment on Importance of Mathematics by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/math-libraries/importance/comment-page-1/#comment-46 Nico Tue, 16 Feb 2010 08:18:30 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=1100#comment-46 As a mathematical discipline travels far from its empirical source… it is beset with very grave dangers. It becomes more and more purely aestheticizing, more and more purely l’art pour l’art. (…) In other words, at a great distance from its empirical source, or after much “abstract” inbreeding, a mathematical subject is in danger of degeneration. Hungarian American mathematician John von Neumann As a mathematical discipline travels far from its empirical source… it is beset with very grave dangers. It becomes more and more purely aestheticizing, more and more purely l’art pour l’art. (…) In other words, at a great distance from its empirical source, or after much “abstract” inbreeding, a mathematical subject is in danger of degeneration.

Hungarian American mathematician John von Neumann

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Comment on Disaster Prevention by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/hea/disaster_prevention/comment-page-1/#comment-45 Nico Tue, 16 Feb 2010 03:43:37 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=1064#comment-45 - <a href="http://desastres.usac.edu.gt/documentos/pdf/eng/doc5817/doc5817.pdf" rel="nofollow">Izumi, Masanori. Hospital Functions After an Earthquake Disaster.</a> - <a href="http://www.ceprode.org.sv/staticpages/pdf/eng/doc7607/doc7607-2b.pdf" rel="nofollow">Disaster Management in Public Facilities, Including Schools and Hospitals</a> - <a href="http://www.wbdg.org/ccb/FEMA/fema577.pdf" rel="nofollow">Cost Effective Guide for Improving Hospital Safety in Earthquakes, Floods, and High Winds: Providing Protection to People and Buildings.</a> - <a href="http://www.geohaz.org/news/index.html" rel="nofollow">GeoHarzards International</a> - <a href="http://www.hks.harvard.edu/news-events/news/articles/ash-institute-communique-crisis-management-jan09" rel="nofollow">From Earthquakes to Pandemics: Arnold Howitt and Dutch Leonard on Crisis Management </a> - <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Analytic_Hierarchy_Process" rel="nofollow">Analytical Hierarchy Process</a> - <a href="http://www.charitynavigator.org/" rel="nofollow">Charity Navigator</a> - <a href="http://www.standwithhaiti.org/haiti" rel="nofollow">Stand With Haiti by Partners in Health</a> - Izumi, Masanori. Hospital Functions After an Earthquake Disaster.

- Disaster Management in Public Facilities, Including Schools and Hospitals

- Cost Effective Guide for Improving Hospital Safety in Earthquakes, Floods, and High Winds: Providing Protection to People and Buildings.

- GeoHarzards International

- From Earthquakes to Pandemics: Arnold Howitt and Dutch Leonard on Crisis Management

- Analytical Hierarchy Process

- Charity Navigator

- Stand With Haiti by Partners in Health

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Comment on Person Finder by Nico http://rnfc.org/ivey/hea/pf/comment-page-1/#comment-44 Nico Mon, 01 Feb 2010 10:57:21 +0000 http://rnfc.org/ivey/?page_id=1028#comment-44 When things go wrong, as they sometimes will, When the road you're trudging seems all uphill, When the funds are low and the debts are high, And you want to smile, but you have to sigh, When care is pressing you down a bit, Rest, if you must, but don't you quit. Life is queer with its twists and turns, As every one of us sometimes learns, And many a failure turns about, When he might have won had he stuck it out; Don't give up though the pace seems slow-- You may succeed with another blow. Often the goal is nearer than, It seems to a faint and faltering man, Often the struggler has given up, When he might have captured the victor's cup, And he learned too late when the night slipped down, How close he was to the golden crown. Success is failure turned inside out-- The silver tint of the clouds of doubt, And you never can tell how close you are, It may be near when it seems so far, So stick to the fight when you're hardest hit-- It's when things seem worst that you must not quit. - Author unknown When things go wrong, as they sometimes will,
When the road you’re trudging seems all uphill,
When the funds are low and the debts are high,
And you want to smile, but you have to sigh,
When care is pressing you down a bit,
Rest, if you must, but don’t you quit.

Life is queer with its twists and turns,
As every one of us sometimes learns,
And many a failure turns about,
When he might have won had he stuck it out;
Don’t give up though the pace seems slow–
You may succeed with another blow.

Often the goal is nearer than,
It seems to a faint and faltering man,
Often the struggler has given up,
When he might have captured the victor’s cup,
And he learned too late when the night slipped down,
How close he was to the golden crown.

Success is failure turned inside out–
The silver tint of the clouds of doubt,
And you never can tell how close you are,
It may be near when it seems so far,
So stick to the fight when you’re hardest hit–
It’s when things seem worst that you must not quit.

- Author unknown

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